← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Apr 3, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Filipe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 68% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| AVS win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC −1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| AVS −1.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
| 20' | 🟨 | Tomané · AVS |
| 34' | ⚽ | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Espigares · Gil Vicente FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Zé Carlos · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| coach days |
| 398.00 |
| 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1583.89 | 1363.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.88 | 0.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -1.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| league points | 42.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 12.85 | 12.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -1.60 |
| solidity v1 | -0.25 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 0.48 |