← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Mar 22, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Nobre
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Porto +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Gustaf Lagerbielke · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alan Varela · FC Porto |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 51' | 🟨 | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
| 54' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Rodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 69' | ⚽ | William Gomes · FC Porto |
| 73' | 🟨 | Pablo Rosario · FC Porto |
| 74' | 🟨 | Terem Moffi · FC Porto |
| 80' | 🟨 | Seko Fofana · FC Porto |
| 80' | ⚽ | Seko Fofana · FC Porto |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Baptiste Gorby · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| coach days |
| 264.00 |
| 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1773.48 | 1887.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.58 | 26.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 2.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 0.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.93 | 1.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.97 |