← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Mar 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Pereira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| CD Santa Clara −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Serginho · CD Santa Clara |
| 42' | 🟨 | Facundo Cáseres · Gil Vicente FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Agustín Moreira · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 994.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1515.02 | 1594.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.26 | -13.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 25.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | 0.77 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.37 | 26.45 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.41 |