← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Mar 15, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Correia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 51% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| AVS win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| AVS +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Paulo Vitor · AVS |
| 45' | 🟨 | Henrique Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 65' | 🟨 | Paulo Vitor · AVS |
| 65' | 🟥 | Paulo Vitor · AVS |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gabriel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AVS | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves |
| coach days | 226.00 | 988.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1368.18 | 1507.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.17 | 7.19 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| league points | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.84 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -0.48 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 27.93 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.56 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.56 | 1.24 |