← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Mar 8, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: L. M. Branco Godinho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CF Estrela da Amadora +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Gil Vicente FC +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Paulo Moreira · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jovane Cabral · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 65' | 🟨 | Facundo Cáseres · Gil Vicente FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Abraham Marcus · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 69' | ⚽ | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CF Estrela da Amadora | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio José Gomes |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 250.00 | 372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1447.91 | 1601.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.30 | 23.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| league points | 24.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.85 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.92 |