← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Mar 1, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Bessa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 52% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Rio Ave FC +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Marios Vrousai · Rio Ave FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Omar Richards · Rio Ave FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sorriso · FC Famalicão |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · FC Famalicão |
| 83' | 🟨 | João Tomé · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonis Papakanellos · Rio Ave FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube |
| coach days |
| 212.00 |
| 455.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1470.15 | 1608.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.21 | -1.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| league points | 20.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 24.13 |
| state index | -1.32 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.56 | 1.16 |