← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Feb 22, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Silva
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 84% | 1.10 |
| Draw | 11% | 8.50 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 5% | 17.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC −2.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| FC Porto −2.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Victor Froholdt · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alan Varela · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Costa · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karem Zoabi · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Omar Richards · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Graça · Rio Ave FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Do Dragão |
| coach days | 266.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1859.46 | 1471.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.76 | -59.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.50 |
| league points | 59.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 6.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.68 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 1.41 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 25.77 |
| state index | 1.15 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.59 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 0.55 |