← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Feb 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Vasilica
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 43% | 2.15 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Gil Vicente FC +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 22' | ⚽ | Felix Bacher · GD Estoril Praia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · GD Estoril Praia |
| 80' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · GD Estoril Praia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | GD Estoril Praia | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio António Coimbra da Mota |
| coach days |
| 601.00 |
| 358.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1573.09 | 1620.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.47 | 43.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 30.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 26.63 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.14 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.67 |