← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Feb 23, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Narciso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Casa Pia AC win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia AC −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| FC Famalicão −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 23' | 🟨 | Pedro Bondo · FC Famalicão |
| 29' | 🟨 | Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira · Casa Pia AC |
| 31' | ⚽ | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Sousa · Casa Pia AC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Justin De Haas · FC Famalicão |
| 81' | ⚽ | Antoine Joujou · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | Casa Pia AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| coach days | 449.00 | 206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1599.37 | 1505.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.12 | 20.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| league points | 32.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 7.99 | 9.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -1.30 |
| solidity v1 | 0.45 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.35 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 2.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.43 |