← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Feb 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fonseca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 85% | 1.09 |
| Draw | 10% | 9.50 |
| AVS win | 5% | 19.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AVS −2.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica −2.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Alexander Bah · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 30' | ⚽ | Enzo Barrenechea · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
| 43' | ⚽ | Rafa Silva · Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 3 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio da Luz |
| coach days |
| 235.00 |
| 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1865.97 | 1363.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.41 | 15.85 |
| eye test v1 | 1.40 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.52 |
| league points | 52.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.36 | 0.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.85 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.08 |
| state index | 1.32 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -1.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.15 |