← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Feb 7, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Silva
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Moreirense FC win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Moreirense FC +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Ghislain Konan · Gil Vicente FC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Maracás · Moreirense FC |
| 40' | 🟥 | Álvaro Martínez · Moreirense FC |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dinis Pinto · Moreirense FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Yan Maranhão · Moreirense FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Diogo Travassos · Moreirense FC |
| 88' | ⚽ | Héctor Hernández · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 221.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1565.92 | 1596.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.63 | 26.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | — |
| league points | 30.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.78 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 1.29 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.56 |