← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Jan 31, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Malheiro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| GD Estoril Praia −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Gonçalo Paciência · CD Santa Clara |
| 31' | 🟨 | Diogo Calila · CD Santa Clara |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Yanis Begraoui · GD Estoril Praia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · CD Santa Clara |
| 39' | 🟨 | Pedro Ferreira · CD Santa Clara |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alejandro Marqués · GD Estoril Praia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Brenner · CD Santa Clara |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pedro Amaral · GD Estoril Praia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Diogo Calila · CD Santa Clara |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joel Robles · GD Estoril Praia |
| 56' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| 🟨 |
| Serginho · CD Santa Clara |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kévin Boma · GD Estoril Praia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gabriel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 73' | 🟨 | Henrique Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 74' | ⚽ | Rafik Guitane · GD Estoril Praia |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Yanis Begraoui · GD Estoril Praia |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 945.00 | 579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1514.30 | 1591.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.91 | 57.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.90 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 17.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.87 | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.47 |