← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Feb 1, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: L. M. Branco Godinho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 72% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| CD Tondela win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela +1.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica +1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · CD Tondela |
| 36' | 🟨 | Siphephelo Sithole · CD Tondela |
| 42' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Maviram · CD Tondela |
| 60' | 🟨 | Christian Marques · CD Tondela |
| 80' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Conceição · CD Tondela |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 5 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Tondela | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio João Cardoso |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 215.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1400.14 | 1879.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.60 | 13.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 1.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 2.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 1.23 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 25.50 |
| state index | -0.82 | 1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 2.36 |