← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Feb 1, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Rodrigues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 36% | 2.57 |
| FC Famalicão win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| FC Famalicão +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Marvin Elimbi · Gil Vicente FC |
| 42' | 🟥 | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jonathan Buatu · Gil Vicente FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Umar Abubakar · FC Famalicão |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| coach days | 337.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1578.00 | 1615.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.46 | -14.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.49 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 24.35 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.20 |