← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Jan 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Macedo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 60% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| CD Tondela win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela −1 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Famalicão −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
| 51' | 🟨 | João Afonso · CD Tondela |
| 69' | ⚽ | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 81' | ⚽ | Pedro Santos · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | CD Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| coach days | 420.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1617.05 | 1414.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.51 | -11.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 26.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.65 | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.54 |