← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Jan 24, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Pinheiro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Moreirense FC win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Moreirense FC +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Mateja Stjepanović · Moreirense FC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Maracás · Moreirense FC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
| 87' | ⚽ | Maracás · Moreirense FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luís Rocha · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Moreirense FC | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas |
| coach days | 207.00 | 938.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1566.32 | 1521.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.35 | -19.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 27.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.25 |
| solidity v1 | 0.69 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.94 | 30.59 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 0.98 |