← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Jan 26, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Nobre
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 10% | 9.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto −1.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Gil Vicente FC −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
| 36' | 🟨 | Zé Carlos · Gil Vicente FC |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto |
| 69' | 🟥 | Martin Fernández · Gil Vicente FC |
| 75' | ⚽ | Martim Fernandes · FC Porto |
| 86' | ⚽ | William Gomes · FC Porto |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jakub Kiwior · FC Porto |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Do Dragão |
| coach days | 239.00 | 331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1862.22 | 1582.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.21 | 7.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 52.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 9.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.89 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.56 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 2.11 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.12 | 26.66 |
| state index | 1.50 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 1.18 |