← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Jan 18, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Torres
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| CD Santa Clara +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 75' | ⚽ | Sorriso · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Welinton · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| coach days | 932.00 | 413.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1531.13 | 1599.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.93 | -26.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 13.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.61 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.09 | 24.33 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.68 |