← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Jan 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: L. M. Branco Godinho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.85 |
| Moreirense FC win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Alverca −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Michel Augusto · Moreirense FC |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Nabil Touaizi · FC Alverca |
| 62' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Alonso · Moreirense FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Sandro Lima · FC Alverca |
| 83' | 🟨 | André Gomes · FC Alverca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davy Gui · FC Alverca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Figueiredo · FC Alverca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Alverca | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | FC Alverca Sports Complex |
| coach days | 169.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1502.10 | 1576.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.81 | 5.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 12.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 27.11 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.26 |