← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Dec 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Luís Godinho, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 65% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora win | 13% | 7.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Luan Patrick · FC Famalicão |
| 10' | ⚽ | Kikas · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 18' | 🟨 | Jefferson Encada · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 24' | ⚽ | Jovane Cabral · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 27' | ⚽ | Sorriso · FC Famalicão |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jovane Cabral · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 81' | 🟨 | Atanas Chernev · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 82' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Pinho · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 84' | 🟨 | Romeo Beney · FC Famalicão |
| 88' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| 🟨 |
| Ianis Stoica · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guilherme Montóia · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 391.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1626.94 | 1461.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.97 | 10.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 4.89 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.43 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.90 | 26.54 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.74 |