← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Dec 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Diogo Rosa, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Rio Ave FC −0.5 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Murilo Souza · Gil Vicente FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | André Luiz · Rio Ave FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joelson Fernandes · Gil Vicente FC |
| 66' | ⚽ (og) | Antonio Espigares · Rio Ave FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jonathan Panzo · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Rodrigues · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hevertton Santos · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cezary Miszta · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| 90' | 🟥 | Tamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| coach days |
| 294.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1573.54 | 1518.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.12 | -25.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.70 |
| league points | 25.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.94 | 24.46 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.12 |