← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Dec 14, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Macedo, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.99 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 20% | 4.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| GD Estoril Praia −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Yassir Zabiri · FC Famalicão |
| 18' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 24' | ⚽ | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 38' | 🟨 | Antef Tsoungui · GD Estoril Praia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 78' | ⚽ | Yassir Zabiri · FC Famalicão |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marcos Peña · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 12 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 378.00 | 531.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1618.06 | 1546.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.66 | 24.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.61 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.21 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.93 |