← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Nov 30, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: Marcio Torres, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 35% | 2.73 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Rio Ave FC +0 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Serginho · CD Santa Clara |
| 23' | 🟨 | Paulo Victor · CD Santa Clara |
| 24' | ⚽ | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Serginho · CD Santa Clara |
| 69' | 🟨 | Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Brenner · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francisco Petrasso · Rio Ave FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube |
| coach days | 121.00 | 883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1529.01 | 1539.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.90 | -24.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 22.00 | 21.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | — |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.17 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 29.08 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 0.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.42 |