← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Nov 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Bessa, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 60% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| FC Famalicão win | 16% | 6.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão +1 | 54% | 1.84 |
| FC Porto +1 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 36' | ⚽ | Victor Froholdt · FC Porto |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Rosario · FC Porto |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · FC Famalicão |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alberto Costa · FC Porto |
| 66' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Pinheiro · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rafa Soares · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| coach days | 343.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1631.91 | 1824.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.32 | -14.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | — |
| league points | 19.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 2.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 1.39 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.66 | 25.10 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 1.05 |