← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Nov 9, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 |
| AVS win | 16% | 6.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC +0.75 | 52% | 1.93 |
| AVS +0.75 | 48% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | Zé Carlos · Gil Vicente FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gustavo Assunção · AVS |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marvin Elimbi · Gil Vicente FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Zé Carlos · Gil Vicente FC |
| 87' | ⚽ | Nenê · AVS |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AVS | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves |
| coach days | 100.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1366.07 | 1591.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.50 | 44.20 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.86 |
| league points | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -1.28 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 26.02 |
| state index | -1.64 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.64 |