← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Oct 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Antonio Nobre, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| AVS win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AVS −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Cristian Castro · AVS |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Serginho · CD Santa Clara |
| 78' | ⚽ | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paulo Victor · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| coach days | 847.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1535.75 | 1373.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.40 | -42.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 44.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| league points | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 20.90 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.01 | -1.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 0.77 |