← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Oct 24, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| FC Alverca win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Gil Vicente FC +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Luís Esteves · Gil Vicente FC |
| 5' | 🟨 | Jonathan Buatu · Gil Vicente FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sabit Abdulai · FC Alverca |
| 31' | 🟨 | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
| 35' | 🟨 | Kaiky Naves · FC Alverca |
| 45' | ⚽ | Santi García · Gil Vicente FC |
| 51' | ⚽ | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 70' | ⚽ | Martin Fernández · Gil Vicente FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Zé Carlos · Gil Vicente FC |
| 74' | 🟥 | Luís Esteves · Gil Vicente FC |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Alverca | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | FC Alverca Sports Complex |
| 89' | 🟨 | Facundo Cáseres · Gil Vicente FC |
| coach days | 84.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1514.36 | 1565.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.37 | 49.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.14 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| league points | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 20.09 | 20.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.19 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.86 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.80 |