← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Oct 4, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: Marcio Torres, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora win | 18% | 5.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Bernardo Schappo · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 32' | ⚽ | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Atanas Chernev · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 56' | 🟥 | Andrew · Gil Vicente FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daniel Figueira · Gil Vicente FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Renan Ribeiro · CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luís Esteves · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 217.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1557.27 | 1446.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.99 | 8.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | 1.05 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 25.33 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.56 |