← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Sep 19, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 71% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.97 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 11% | 9.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC +1.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| FC Porto +1.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Pablo Rosario · FC Porto |
| 14' | ⚽ | Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto |
| 25' | 🟨 | Pablo Rosario · FC Porto |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jakub Brabec · Rio Ave FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | André Luiz · Rio Ave FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube |
| coach days | 49.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1520.48 | 1813.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.16 | 38.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.48 |
| solidity v1 | -0.73 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 25.11 |
| state index | -0.41 | 1.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 0.87 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.84 |