← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Sep 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Macedo, Portugal
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Gil Vicente FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · GD Estoril Praia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Facundo Cáseres · Gil Vicente FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nodar Lominadze · GD Estoril Praia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Joelson Fernandes · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 204.00 | 447.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1556.69 | 1543.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.75 | -16.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.57 |
| league points | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 26.63 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.55 |