← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Sep 13, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Rosa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.91 |
| AVS win | 20% | 4.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AVS −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| GD Estoril Praia −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · GD Estoril Praia |
| 12' | ⚽ | Nodar Lominadze · GD Estoril Praia |
| 28' | ⚽ | João Carvalho · GD Estoril Praia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jordan Holsgrove · GD Estoril Praia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Kiki Afonso · AVS |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kévin Boma · GD Estoril Praia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ricard Sánchez · GD Estoril Praia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Rafael Barbosa · AVS |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pedro Amaral · GD Estoril Praia |
| 78' | ⚽ | Diogo Spencer · AVS |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | GD Estoril Praia | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio António Coimbra da Mota |
| coach days | 439.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1526.75 | 1409.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.15 | -34.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| league points | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 13.90 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -1.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.21 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 0.73 |