← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 31, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Guelho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela win | 35% | 3.03 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela +0 | 50% | 2.11 |
| GD Estoril Praia +0 | 50% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Juan Rodríguez · CD Tondela |
| 26' | 🟨 | Kévin Boma · GD Estoril Praia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Felix Bacher · GD Estoril Praia |
| 43' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · GD Estoril Praia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Pedro Amaral · GD Estoril Praia |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Tiago Manso · CD Tondela |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ivan Cavaleiro · CD Tondela |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rafik Guitane · GD Estoril Praia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Tondela | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio João Cardoso |
| coach days |
| 61.00 |
| 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1413.45 | 1540.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.61 | -1.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 14.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.39 | 26.00 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.02 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.54 |