← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Fri, Aug 29, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Nobre
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.83 |
| Moreirense FC win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Gil Vicente FC −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | ⚽ | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Yan Maranhão · Moreirense FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Álvaro Martínez · Moreirense FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ghislain Konan · Gil Vicente FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gustavo Varela · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| 4.00 |
| coach days | 181.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1515.76 | 1575.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.72 | 51.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 6.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.07 |