← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Aug 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rodrigues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| AVS win | 23% | 4.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AVS +0.5 | 50% | 2.02 |
| FC Famalicão +0.5 | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.64 |
| Over | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Léo Realpe · FC Famalicão |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marcos Peña · FC Famalicão |
| 56' | 🟨 | Léo Realpe · FC Famalicão |
| 56' | 🟥 | Léo Realpe · FC Famalicão |
| 70' | ⚽ | Justin De Haas · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · AVS |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Ba · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lazar Carević · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AVS | FC Famalicão |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves |
| coach days | 29.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1415.74 | 1614.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.28 | 12.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.60 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 24.76 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.47 |