← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Sep 6, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Nogueira
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| GD Estoril Praia win | 28% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| CD Santa Clara +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Patrick de Paula · GD Estoril Praia |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriel Silva · CD Santa Clara |
| 56' | 🟨 | Paulo Victor · CD Santa Clara |
| 57' | 🟨 | João Carvalho · GD Estoril Praia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tiago Brito · GD Estoril Praia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pedro Carvalho · GD Estoril Praia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | GD Estoril Praia | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio António Coimbra da Mota |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 432.00 | 798.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1538.69 | 1530.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.10 | -32.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.78 |
| league points | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.19 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 28.75 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.32 |