← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 24, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Goncalves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 74% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 |
| AVS win | 9% | 12.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga −1.5 | 50% | 2.04 |
| AVS −1.5 | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Rodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 28' | ⚽ | Rafael Barbosa · AVS |
| 34' | ⚽ | Diego Duarte · AVS |
| 37' | 🟨 | Rafael Barbosa · AVS |
| 72' | 🟨 | Diogo Spencer · AVS |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tiago Galletto · AVS |
| 87' | ⚽ | Fran Navarro · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paulo Oliveira · Sporting Clube de Braga |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Baptiste Gorby · Sporting Clube de Braga |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Braga |
| coach days | 54.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1772.45 | 1407.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.02 | -37.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 9.21 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.40 | 27.80 |
| state index | 1.36 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.06 |