← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sat, Aug 23, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Carvalho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Arouca win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Rio Ave FC win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Arouca −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · FC Arouca |
| 24' | ⚽ | Jose Fontán · FC Arouca |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ivan Barbero · FC Arouca |
| 36' | 🟨 | Nelson Abbey · Rio Ave FC |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · FC Arouca |
| 48' | ⚽ | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
| 64' | ⚽ | Dario Špikić · Rio Ave FC |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alfonso Trezza · FC Arouca |
| 76' | ⚽ | Clayton · Rio Ave FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Naïs Djouahra |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Arouca | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Municipal de Arouca |
| coach days | 326.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1552.02 | 1524.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.39 | -6.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 24.08 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.22 |