← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Silva
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Moreirense FC win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC −0.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| CD Santa Clara −0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Guilherme Schettine · Moreirense FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Frederico Venâncio · CD Santa Clara |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mateja Stjepanović · Moreirense FC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luís Rocha · CD Santa Clara |
| 67' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Alonso · Moreirense FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Maracás · Moreirense FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kiko · Moreirense FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marcelo · Moreirense FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diogo Calila · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vinícius Lopes · CD Santa Clara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CD Santa Clara | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio de São Miguel |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 778.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1557.50 | 1546.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.29 | 13.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 28.98 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.86 |