← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Mon, Aug 18, 07:15 PM UTC · ref: R. Baixinho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 13% | 7.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente FC +1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Porto +1.25 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Victor Froholdt · FC Porto |
| 41' | 🟨 | Diogo Costa · FC Porto |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Felipe · Gil Vicente FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gabri Veiga · FC Porto |
| 47' | ⚽ | Pepê · FC Porto |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alan Varela · FC Porto |
| 56' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · FC Porto |
| 65' | 🟨 | Agustín Moreira · Gil Vicente FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gil Vicente FC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estádio Cidade de Barcelos |
| coach days | 170.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1518.32 | 1783.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.87 | -4.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 6.98 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 1.06 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 24.22 |
| state index | 0.20 | 1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.21 |