← Primeira Liga 2025 · regular season · Sun, Aug 10, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: L. M. Branco Godinho
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Famalicão win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| CD Santa Clara win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CD Santa Clara −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC Famalicão −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Pinheiro · FC Famalicão |
| 19' | ⚽ | Gustavo Sá · FC Famalicão |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gil Dias · FC Famalicão |
| 61' | 🟨 | Pedro Ferreira · CD Santa Clara |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mathias De Amorim · FC Famalicão |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pedro Santos · FC Famalicão |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matheus Araújo · CD Santa Clara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lazar Carević · FC Famalicão |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yassir Zabiri · FC Famalicão |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Famalicão | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| duration | REGULAR |
| stage | REGULAR_SEASON |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Famalicao |
| coach days | 252.00 | 771.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1598.83 | 1576.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.17 | 34.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 2.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | 0.02 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.17 | 27.92 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.53 |