← Major League Baseball 2026 · Tue, Sep 15, 11:07 PM UTC · scheduled
Probable pitchers: away: Drew Anderson (ERA 3.8, WHIP 1.31)
The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market
“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.
Who wins?
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays win | 53% | 1.79 |
| Detroit Tigers win | 47% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)