← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 11:40 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 52% | 6.29 |
| Kansas City Royals win | 48% | 2.05 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks win | 1.76 | 6.29 | +257.0% | |
| Kansas City Royals win | 1.90 | 1.15 | -39.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kansas City Royals | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1466.40 | 1521.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.75 | 6.41 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.00 |