Alloa 0–0 East Fife

← Segunda División 2026 · Sat, Aug 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Kennedy

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Alloa win	42%	2.15
East Fife win	31%	2.88
Draw	27%	3.40

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Asian handicap

Outcome	Market says	Best price
East Fife −0.25	51%	1.88
Alloa −0.25	49%	1.93

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Over	50%	1.90
Under	50%	1.90

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

The match in numberswhat happened + what each side looked like walking in

Match stats

0	Half-time score	0
7	Shots	5
4	On target	0
12	Corners	3
7	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

Metric	Alloa	East Fife
congestion 21d	0.00	0.00
elo	1500.00	1500.00
state index	-0.03	-0.03