← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Thu, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 66% | 60% | 1.48 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 24% | 4.77 | value: +13% |
| Akhisarspor win | 14% | 16% | 7.15 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2940.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1615.97 | 1570.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.35 | 9.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 49.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |