← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 65% | 48% | 1.49 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 27% | 4.59 | value: +22% |
| Osmanlispor win | 13% | 25% | 7.33 | value: +85% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Osmanlispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 349.00 | 2936.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1798.49 | 1622.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.97 | 12.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 76.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| state index | 1.56 | 0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |