← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 41% | 37% | 2.37 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 30% | 31% | 3.21 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.43 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 312.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1509.39 | 1513.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.20 | 26.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 33.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |