← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Mon, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 38% | 48% | 2.54 | value: +22% |
| Kasimpasa win | 33% | 24% | 2.97 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.39 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 586.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1671.07 | 1555.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.90 | 3.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 59.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.42 |
| state index | 0.99 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |