← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 53% | 41% | 1.85 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.77 | value: +5% |
| Akhisarspor win | 21% | 32% | 4.56 | value: +44% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 213.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1501.63 | 1584.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.90 | 8.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 25.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.47 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |