← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Fri, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 74% | 48% | 1.32 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 26% | 5.70 | value: +49% |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 9% | 26% | 11.08 | value: +186% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 515.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1509.81 | 1450.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.45 | -36.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 31.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| state index | -0.59 | -1.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |