← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 48% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.39 | value: +19% |
| Trabzonspor win | 15% | 25% | 6.53 | value: +63% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 114.00 | 328.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1579.85 | 1808.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.60 | -15.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 37.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 2.21 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |